Hognostications: Week 5
By: Frank Hastings 
Posted: 2006-10-05
Category: Washington Redskins News
This Hognosticator thought he had seen a good game in Houston? It may have been, but it was nothing like the thriller last week against the Jags. Without question, an all-time classic. The biggest play of that game (other than Moss’s walk-off TD, of course) may not have been a football play at all, but the Jags losing of the coin toss in OT. The opposite result would have almost certainly resulted in a loss, and instead of discussing the Redskin’s new found Saunders offense, this week’s discussion would have been focused on a heartbreaking hard fought loss and our defensive short comings. Special thanks to Charlie Frye and the Browns for erasing an 18-point deficit in a comeback victory in Oakland - helping out in another week of poor picks on a Sunday where 8 of 12 games were decided by a TD or less, and 5 of those 8 were decided by 3 or fewer points. Congratulations and good work to all the Hognosticators who have consistently out-picked this amateur throughout the first quarter of the season.

Cleveland at Carolina
Sorry, Charlie Frye meet Julius Peppers. The Panthers can’t seem to play anything other than a close game. They’ll take this close one at home. They better, as their next three games are at Baltimore, at Cincy and hosting Dallas.
Pick – Panthers

Buffalo at Chicago
The Bears have won their last eight regular-season home games, allowing just two touchdowns in the process. J.P. Losman has already been sacked 11 times. Look for the Bears to add to that total. The Bears impressive defense is giving up a measly 7.3 points per game through four weeks, and the Bears already hold a comfortable two game lead over their only divisional threat, Minnesota. Unfortunately, the NFC playoff race will more than likely require a visit to Soldier field.
Pick – Bears

St. Louis at Green Bay
Obviously Seattle and Vikings knew what they were doing when they unloaded Koren Robinson. On Wednesday he was sentenced to 90 days in jail for violating his probation in a drunken driving case. Fortunately, he will be able to finish the season with the Packers. Playing for the Pack these days could drink anyone to driving…sorry, drive anyone to drinking.
Pick - Rams

Tennessee at Indianapolis

The Titans are a sick 19-point dog. What has happened to this franchise? Tennessee is off to their worst start since 1984 when they were in Houston and have lost seven straight since last December. Vince Young looked horrible last week and his development will take years. Fisher needs to find himself a new home. He’s a good coach and could win now with the proper support from his owner and front office.
Pick – Colts

Detroit at Minnesota

The Lions can’t run the ball and are giving up nearly 29 points a game. The Lions have beaten the Vikes just once this decade; the Vikes have won eight in a row and 14 of the last 16. Minnesota gets back on track this weekend after dropping two straight to the Bears and Bills.
Pick – Vikings

Miami at New England

The Patriots seem to match up well against everyone except the Broncos. That was an impressive victory over Cincy last week. The opposite can be said of the Dolphin performance in Houston last weekend and so far this season. Mike Mularkey, the Dolphin O-Coordinator will deservedly be the fall guy for the Dolphins’ so far disastrous season, unless Culpepper and that offense can quickly show some signs of improvement and cement some victories. Anyone else getting pleasure out of the sophomore, Saban’s struggles after so much early success and praise last season?
Pick – Patriots

Tampa Bay at New Orleans

This win will give the Saints their first consecutive home win against divisional opponents since they won 3 straight in the 2000 season. Unbelievably, the Bucs have rushed for a mere and league’s worst 130 yards in their three loses. Consequently, the Bucs rank dead last in rushing with 43.3 yards/game and their offense ranks 31st in the league in total yards. Even more surprisingly, their rushing defense is as lousy, ranked 31st in the league, giving up 170 yards/game. All this translates into unnecessary pressure on a rookie QB, Bruce Gradkowski making his first start and a big day for McAllister and Bush.
Pick – Saints

Washington at New York Giants

Coming off bye-weeks, the Giants have lost five straight and are just 3-14 overall. They are also a Philthy collapse away from a 0-3 start to the season. It’s time to erase the bad memory of last season’s debacle at New York with Tiki putting up 206 rushing yards in a 36-0 blowout and show Shockey a true example of what being out coached is all about.
Pick – Redskins

Kansas City at Arizona

Warner’s done in Arizona and likely for his career. Leinart will be a quality pro QB (probably in another uniform), but it’ll take some time and an absence of the abuse he’ll take behind a perpetually poor Cardinal OL. The Cardinals rank 31st in the league in rushing even with the addition of James - that won’t help the pressure Leinart will receive. One thing both these teams have in common is their only victory has come against the worthless 49ers.
Pick - Chiefs

New York Jets at Jacksonville

The Jets have won their first two road games and the Jags have won their first two home games. Something’s got to give. The risk-taking rookie Head Coach Eric Mangini and the Jets have started stronger than expected this season, but are struggling defensively, ranking 29th overall, allowing 378 yards/game (140 rush and 238 pass). This match up of former Marshall teammates (Leftwich and Pennington) ought to be fun to watch - look for the Jags to get back on track.
Pick - Jaguars

Oakland at San Francisco

The 2007 draft bowl. These two teams will give the Titans, Lions and possibly the Bucs a run for the 1st pick of the ’07 draft. As bad as the 49ers are, the Raiders are worse and a mess from the top to bottom of their roster. Discontent, lack of overall talent and injuries are just a few of the many issues Faider fans get to look forward to each week.
Pick – 49ers

Dallas at Philadelphia

This will be an interesting match up of Philthy’s supposedly number 1 ranked offense against the Puke’s supposedly solid defense. This pick is a win-win for Redskin fans. Whichever team loses we’ll be happy. Personally, a Puke loss would be more enjoyable and hopefully this pick will jinx their performance. Brian Westbrook’s status is a huge factor in this game. Buckhalter can’t hold onto the ball and that has to be a concern for Man Boobs II and Philthy fans. Philthy has lost 7 consecutive division games, make it 8.
Pick – Pukes

Pittsburgh at San Diego

This will be a great match up of two great defenses and is a tough pick. Pittsburgh is coming in off two straight losses, while San Diego is coming in after a close 4th quarter game winning drive loss to Baltimore last week. The Steelers have won their last 5 against the Chargers. The Chargers will end that streak and generate enough offense to win at home.
Pick – Chargers

Baltimore at Denver

The Ravens will be up for this nationally televised contest and wanting to make a statement, will show they’re for real. Other than his former team the Titans, the Broncos are the only team McNair hasn’t faced. He’ll be 1-0 against them Tuesday morning.
Pick – Ravens

Bye Week: Falcons, Bengals, Seahawks, Texans

Last Week’s Results: 9-5
Season to Date: 34-26

- Frank Hastings

Hognostications Counterpoint NFL Week 5

This is one week when my expectations have been truly surpassed on several fronts. First, the Washington Redskins finally showed what they are made of and won with true grit. Our QB finally removed all doubts from the minds of those who had any reservations about his ability to lead our team. The Offensive Line showed up ready to play against one of the top defensive lines in the NFL. And Al Saunders' system is beginning to produce dividends in an average of over 30 points lately. A healthy Clinton Portis always makes a big difference. What a game against the Jags. What a win!

But a special word must go to Santana Moss. Not only for the STELLAR way in which he played, but also for his demeanor after each score and the way he handles himself under all circumstances. I am one dedicated fan of Art Monk for his work on and off the field. I imagine Art feels happy looking at this kid starting to fill his shoes. So am I. That is how much I think of him.

Second, the THN community members have, by far, the best Hognostication scores this week that we have had as an entire group in a long while. I started a Poll thread on THN's message board asking if a perfect score was possible. Well that question -almost- got answered this week. Not one but two members had final scores of 13 - 1. And to top it up, three others followed them with 12 - 2. Amazing!

I can not really tell you how excited I am about this Hognostications season. On the one hand, I hope that the top scorers keep their good scores up and improve upon our performance obtained at the end of the last season. On the other hand, everybody is doing their best to reach the top and some interesting movements are already taking place. I would not be surprised if some dark horses from last season come to challenge the leaders in a few weeks. I know they are very capable and, like the Redskins, they are beginning to show their true form.

It is remarkable how competitive the THN hognosticators have become. The difference in the standings is really coming down to a field goal or a late score in the last seconds of just a couple of close games!

Explore and have a look at the different links available in this Hognostications section:

- Weekly Pool Standings

- Season Pool Standings

- Pool Consensus

- Pool History

And last but not least, ALL the player STATPACKS:

- Player Statpacks

My picks:

Rams at Packers 1:00 PM
Pick - Green Bay

Bills at Bears 1:00 PM
Pick - Chicago

Lions at Vikings 1:00 PM
Pick - Minnesota

Redskins at Giants 1:00 PM
Pick - Washington

Browns at Panthers 1:00 PM
Pick - Carolina

Dolphins at Patriots 1:00 PM
Pick - New England

Titans at Colts 1:00 PM
Pick - Indianapolis

Buccaneers at Saints 1:00 PM
Pick - New Orleans

Raiders at 49ers 4:05 PM
Pick - San Francisco

Jets at Jaguars 4:05 PM
Pick - Jacksonville

Chiefs at Cardinals 4:05 PM
Pick - Kansas City

Cowboys at Eagles 4:15 PM
Pick - Philadelphia

Steelers at Chargers 8:15 PM
Pick - San Diego

Monday, October 9

Ravens at Broncos 8:30 PM (ET)
Pick - Denver

The standings with the "professional experts":

Poolmeisters TW TL TT Pct

CLL 45 15 0 75.0
airhog 43 17 0 71.7
TincoSkin 42 18 0 70.0
cvillehog 42 18 0 70.0
Justice HOG 42 18 0 70.0
theoneandonly9 41 19 0 68.3
hailskins666 41 19 0 68.3
Dmkskins86 41 19 0 68.3
JPM36 41 19 0 68.3
Dangerfield 41 19 0 68.3
JSPB22 40 20 0 66.7
Jake 40 20 0 66.7
REDEEMEDSKIN 40 20 0 66.7
ArizonaHog 40 20 0 66.7
Schlereth 40 20 0
die cowboys die 39 21 0 65.0
EA7649 39 21 0 65.0
HOSS 39 21 0 65.0
riggins85 39 21 0 65.0
Scottish Hog 39 21 0 65.0
Jaworski 39 21 0
Countertrey 38 22 0 63.3
funbunch 38 22 0 63.3
FFA 38 22 0 63.3
joebagadonuts 38 22 0 63.3
SkinsChic 38 22 0 63.3
Cappster 38 22 0 63.3
JansenFan 38 22 0 63.3
chaddukes 38 22 0 63.3
Hoge 38 22 0
King "The Sleazy" 38 22 0
NC43Hog 37 23 0 61.7
wbbradb 37 23 0 61.7
WarMother 37 23 0 61.7
rick301 37 23 0 61.7
Golic 37 23 0
Salisbury 37 23 0
Redskin in Canada 36 24 0 60.0
tazlah 36 24 0 60.0
SkinsJock 36 24 0 60.0
UK Skins Fan 35 25 0 58.3
Mursilis 35 25 0 58.3
juansushi 35 25 0 58.3
Allen 35 25 0
Mortensen 35 25 0
TexasHog 34 26 0 56.7
1niksder 33 27 0 55.0
NikiH 33 27 0 55.0
This Heat 33 27 0 55.0
ChrisHanburger 32 14 0 69.6
vtfootball07 32 28 0 53.3
Theismann 32 24 0
Punu 31 29 0 51.7
skins2win 30 16 0 65.2
Fios 29 17 0 63.0
ATV 28 18 0 60.9
skinz74 27 17 0 61.4
gus 27 17 0 61.4
redskingush 26 20 0 56.5
doink 20 10 0 66.7
Skins4ever 20 12 0 62.5
Skins Rule 16 14 0 53.3
Kearney420 13 3 0 81.3
gt1135 12 4 0 75.0
JagerSkins 11 5 0 68.8
HALSKNS 10 6 0 62.5
gfghost 9 7 0 56.3
shanghaiskins 9 7 0 56.3
SkinzCanes 9 7 0 56.3
RiggoFan 9 7 0 56.3
bluskinsfanforeve 7 7 0 50.0
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