| Author |
Message |
DarthMonk
DarthMonk
Joined: 16 Nov 2005
Posts: 3205
|
| Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 10:42 pm Post subject: Playoff Point Spread |
 |
|
We opened as 2.5 point home dogs.
If Vegas is trying to reflect/predict public opinion then the betting public thinks the SheHawks are 5.5 points better than we on a neutral field. That seems extreme to me. So far, 52% of the cash is on SEA.
5 teams beat SEA on the road this year - ARZ, RAM, 49R, DET, MIA.
DET is the only team to put more than 24 on SEA this year - they scored 28.
SEA has been a low scoring team too. They put up 50 twice lately but that was all about their D - once at home and once at BUF - and that was in Canada, not at BUF.
We are now 3 point home dogs.
I like that. |
|
| Back to top |
|
tallen46721
newbie
Joined: 16 Dec 2012
Posts: 5
Location: Indiana
|
| Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 10:53 pm Post subject: |
|
|
i think we'll be quite fine if our defense keeps getting well timed turnovers!  ! |
|
| Back to top |
|
Bob 0119
The Punisher
Joined: 13 Sep 2007
Posts: 2571
Location: Manassas
|
| Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 10:55 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| Wow, hey, nice avatar DM! Is it new or have I just not been paying attention? |
|
| Back to top |
|
markshark84
Hog
Joined: 14 Jul 2008
Posts: 1460
Location: Houston, TX
|
| Posted: Tue Jan 01, 2013 11:12 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| I was surprised at that line. I expected it to be a pick em or 1 point favorites seeing how SEA doesn't play well on the road. |
|
| Back to top |
|
welch
Skins History Buff
Joined: 10 Jan 2004
Posts: 4665
Location: New York, NY
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 12:48 am Post subject: |
|
|
I hope the Skins are a 5-point underdogs by game-time. The less respect, the better they play.
Come on world: underestimate these Redskins! |
|
| Back to top |
|
Link
|
|
 |
DarthMonk
DarthMonk
Joined: 16 Nov 2005
Posts: 3205
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 8:47 am Post subject: |
|
|
| Bob 0119 wrote: | | Wow, hey, nice avatar DM! Is it new or have I just not been paying attention? |
Brand new. Let me go dig. I have to thank someone. |
|
| Back to top |
|
Redskin in Canada
~~~~~~
Joined: 08 Apr 2004
Posts: 10278
Location: Canada
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 11:03 am Post subject: Re: Playoff Point Spread |
|
|
| DarthMonk wrote: | | We opened as 2.5 point home dogs. |
We started at 4.5 shortly after the Dallas game. It moved to 3.0 and then to 2.5.
REMEMBER people, this is just a measure of the amounts of bets placed and not "experts" views. What the movement means is that MOST people placing bets LIKED to bet on the Skins with THOSE original spreads (+4.5 and +3.0).
This is a tough game to call. Somehow, I have a feeling that one team may blow the other if and when things work out well for one and not the other. Both teams can score quickly and often. The one with the better plan on offense and defense will win.
I am much less inclined to think that a close game may happen. But I have been wrong many times before.
So, my prediction is:
This will be a high scoring game with more than a TD difference in favour of the winner.
Now, think about it: if Arizona, Miami, St Louis, and Detroit, among others, won at home against Seattle, can we do it? I like our chances. Just make sure that the refs do not do another FAIL MARY call or Mara's accomplices do not officiate our game. YES< officiating may play a VERY significant role in this game. Seattle secondary does a lot of interference (pulling and shoving) and those penalties need to be called. |
|
| Back to top |
|
The Hogster
#######
Joined: 06 Mar 2005
Posts: 7002
Location: Washington D.C.
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 11:08 am Post subject: |
|
|
| Skins win 31-17 |
|
| Back to top |
|
Redskin in Canada
~~~~~~
Joined: 08 Apr 2004
Posts: 10278
Location: Canada
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 11:19 am Post subject: |
|
|
| The Hogster wrote: | | Skins win 31-17 |
Most people could call this crazy but I do not really think it is. It is one scenario that can actually have a good chance to happen.
I forgot to mention the importance of special teams. We need good returns from kickoffs and punts. We need to stop big plays from them on special teams.i am not sure whom I would want to put in there from us to return. Crawford? Paul? Hall? Who? |
|
| Back to top |
|
DarthMonk
DarthMonk
Joined: 16 Nov 2005
Posts: 3205
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 11:27 am Post subject: Re: Playoff Point Spread |
|
|
| Redskin in Canada wrote: | | DarthMonk wrote: | | We opened as 2.5 point home dogs. |
We started at 4.5 shortly after the Dallas game. It moved to 3.0 and then to 2.5. |
Must be a London book. Everything I see says opend at 1.5 to 2.5 then moved to 3.
Examples:
http://www.madduxsports.com/nfl-odds.php#odds
http://linemakers.sportingnews.com/nfl/2013-01-02/nfl-wildcard-playoffs-point-spreads-betting-lines-vegas-odds-seahawks-redskins
| Redskin in Canada wrote: | | REMEMBER people, this is just a measure of the amounts of bets placed and not "experts" views. What the movement means is that MOST people placing bets LIKED to bet on the Skins with THOSE original spreads (+4.5 and +3.0). |
Not necessarily. Sometimes Vegas tries to win outright.
| Redskin in Canada wrote: | This is a tough game to call. Somehow, I have a feeling that one team may blow the other if and when things work out well for one and not the other. Both teams can score quickly and often. The one with the better plan on offense and defense will win.
I am much less inclined to think that a close game may happen. But I have been wrong many times before.
So, my prediction is:
This will be a high scoring game with more than a TD difference in favour of the winner.
Now, think about it: if Arizona, Miami, St Louis, and Detroit, among others, won at home against Seattle, can we do it? I like our chances. Just make sure that the refs do not do another FAIL MARY call or Mara's accomplices do not officiate our game. YES< officiating may play a VERY significant role in this game. Seattle secondary does a lot of interference (pulling and shoving) and those penalties need to be called. |
I like our chances too. |
|
| Back to top |
|
Link
|
|
|
ATX_Skins
ATX
Joined: 29 Oct 2008
Posts: 3322
Location: NOVA
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 11:31 am Post subject: |
|
|
| The Hogster wrote: | | Skins win 31-17 |
I like this prediction. |
|
| Back to top |
|
Redskin in Canada
~~~~~~
Joined: 08 Apr 2004
Posts: 10278
Location: Canada
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 12:00 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Superbowl winning chances. Most houses do not give us much of a chance in general (1/18 ) and their logic points at us losing this game (Seahawks 1/12):
| Code: |
Broncos 3/1
Patriots 15/4
49ers 6/1
Falcons 7/1
Packers 15/2
Seahawks 12/1
Texans 14/1
Redskins 18/1
Ravens 22/1
Vikings 35/1
Bengals 40/1
Colts 40/1
|
I think that the Falcons and Seahawks are overrated. |
|
| Back to top |
|
Deadskins
JSPB22
Joined: 02 Jul 2004
Posts: 14716
Location: Location, LOCATION!
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 12:21 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| Redskin in Canada wrote: | | I think that the Falcons and Seahawks are overrated. |
Both are very tough at home. The difference is Atlanta has home field advantage throughout. That said, we will beat Atlanta at home, next week. |
|
| Back to top |
|
SkinsJock
08 Champ
Joined: 24 Feb 2004
Posts: 11514
Location: New England
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 12:47 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| Deadskins wrote: | | Redskin in Canada wrote: | | I think that the Falcons and Seahawks are overrated. |
Both are very tough at home. The difference is Atlanta has home field advantage throughout. That said, we will beat Atlanta at home, next week. |
no doubt - Falcons and Sqwarks are overrated
Each year, a number of teams considered 'better' or are 'rated' higher, lose in the playoffs
we can win the next 2 .... after that .... 
THINK ABOUT IT
right now we're playing better than the g strings were last year ....
No team wants to play against the Redskins, right now - it's not that we're better - we're just able to find a way to win the game
that's what's so rewarding about the way this team has responded |
|
| Back to top |
|
Deadskins
JSPB22
Joined: 02 Jul 2004
Posts: 14716
Location: Location, LOCATION!
|
| Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2013 9:51 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| SkinsJock wrote: | | No team wants to play against the Redskins, right now - it's not that we're better - we're just able to find a way to win the game |
I totally disagree. We are the better team.  |
|
| Back to top |
|
Link
|
|
|
| Page 1 of 2 | All times are GMT - 5 Hours |
